{"audit_version":"1.0","checked_on":"2026-09-23","kind":"source_verification_addendum_not_new_estimate","base_package_version":"3.0.0","base_observations_unchanged":6367,"base_json_sha256":"7d3bd8a4e1146ba506349572362acaaf262fcdf7a467b0cf7c44c38fc11a8146","scope":"Published MLD percentage parameters only, and 102 existing Brachat-Schwarz observations. Not a revalidation of the whole BAMF model.","source_access":{"fb55":{"basis":"user-uploaded PDF","file_name":"fb55-zahl-muslime-2025.pdf","table1":{"printed_page":17,"pdf_page":18,"column":"E"},"table2":{"printed_page":22,"pdf_page":23,"column":"MLD 2020: Anteil der muslimischen Religionsangehörigen"},"verification":"Freshly rendered page images plus embedded text; no OCR.","identity_with_current_online_bamf_version":"not_verified"},"fb38_original_mld":{"publisher":"BAMF","publication_year":2021,"url":"https://d-nb.info/1266039155/34","repository":"Deutsche Nationalbibliothek","table":"2-3","printed_page":38,"pdf_page":39,"verification":"Web-accessible original report, PDF page screenshot and parsed text.","local_pdf_binary_saved":false},"brachat_schwarz":{"source_id_in_v3":"stala_monat_2020","author":"Werner Brachat-Schwarz","title":"Wie viele Musliminnen und Muslime leben in Baden-Württemberg? Ansatz und Ergebnisse einer Schätzung zur muslimischen Bevölkerung im Südwesten","journal":"Statistisches Monatsheft Baden-Württemberg","year":2020,"issue":4,"printed_pages":"3–10","pdf_page_count":8,"url":"https://www.statistik-bw.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Service/Veroeff/Statistisches_Monatsheft/PDF/Beitrag20_04_01.pdf","verification":"Full original PDF text read through web; title, table p. 7, figure p. 6 and results p. 10 visually checked.","previous_access":"Scribd full-text mirror in v3","local_pdf_binary_saved":false,"bibliographic_discrepancy":{"user_supplied_catalog_issue":3,"issue_printed_in_original":4,"resolution":"Use original issue 4; catalog record not silently changed.","catalog_independent_access":"Blocked; issue 3 taken from user-supplied catalog excerpt."}}},"bamf_percentage_comparison":[{"origin_group":"Afghanistan","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":93.5,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":93.5,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":93.5,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00004","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00094","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_5a2cc6e37c9e"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Bangladesch","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":86.0,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":86.0,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":86.0,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00009","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00098","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_3f279ed51a03"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Iran","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":29.0,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":29.0,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":29.0,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00014","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00102","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_33238a4c440a"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Pakistan","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":96.3,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":96.3,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":96.3,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00019","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00106","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_9491d8849c62"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Irak","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":93.5,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":37.4,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":37.4,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":true,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00024","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00112","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_ed7751387f37"},"interpretation":"Table 1 entry conflicts with the cited MLD original; probable publication error, cause not established.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Jordanien","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":86.0,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":89.3,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":89.3,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":true,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00029","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00116","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_fdf3b4c174e3"},"interpretation":"Table 1 entry conflicts with the cited MLD original; probable publication error, cause not established.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Libanon","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":29.0,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":92.7,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":92.7,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":true,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00034","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00120","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_16be3ea48cd1"},"interpretation":"Table 1 entry conflicts with the cited MLD original; probable publication error, cause not established.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Syrien","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":96.3,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":86.5,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":86.5,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":true,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00039","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00124","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_df9b1affca30"},"interpretation":"Table 1 entry conflicts with the cited MLD original; probable publication error, cause not established.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Jemen/Saudi-Arabien/Vereinigte Arabische Emirate","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":93.5,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":96.2,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":96.2,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":true,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00044","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00128","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_2350e8e5713c"},"interpretation":"Table 1 entry conflicts with the cited MLD original; probable publication error, cause not established.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Marokko","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":95.1,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":95.1,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":95.1,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00049","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00134","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_2e583c3c26d7"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Ägypten/Algerien/Libyen/Tunesien","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":86.1,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":86.1,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":86.1,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00054","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00138","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_aa546ea534eb"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Albanien","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":58.1,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":58.1,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":58.1,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00059","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00144","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_db2a2968c261"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Bosnien-Herzegowina","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":57.2,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":57.2,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":57.2,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00064","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00148","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_fd67e3188c01"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Kosovo","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":86.9,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":86.9,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":86.9,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00069","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00152","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_821ae2939001"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Montenegro","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":64.4,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":64.4,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":64.4,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00074","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00156","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_8c32c2228e56"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Nordmazedonien","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":80.0,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":80.0,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":80.0,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00079","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00160","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_721b1a437a9c"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Serbien","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":48.0,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":48.0,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":48.0,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00084","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00164","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_cea1316e7776"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."},{"origin_group":"Türkei","unit":"percent","fb55_table1_column_E_published":87.2,"fb55_table2_mld_share_published":87.2,"fb38_table2_3_mld_share_published":87.2,"table1_differs_from_original_mld":false,"table2_matches_original_mld":true,"v3_transcription_matches_visible_pdf":true,"observation_ids":{"fb55_t1":"v3_bamf_fb55_asylum_comparison_00089","fb55_t2":"v3_bamf_fb55_origin_model_2025_00170","fb38":"bamf_2019_origin_projection_ec18a1ce851c"},"interpretation":"The compared published MLD shares agree.","parameter_note":"Historical MLD share; not a newly measured 2025 or local share."}],"summary":{"compared_origin_groups":18,"table1_conflicts_with_original_mld":5,"table2_matches_with_original_mld":18,"article_parameter_values_verified":92,"article_other_values_verified":10,"article_numeric_corrections_needed":0,"base_dataset_modified":false,"new_population_estimates_generated":false},"findings":[{"status":"verified","finding":"The five differences are visible in the uploaded PDF, not caused by an OCR or column-reading error in v3."},{"status":"verified","finding":"For these MLD shares, Table 2 matches the original FB38 Table 2-3 for all 18 origin groups."},{"status":"inference","finding":"The differing entries in Table 1 are probably publication/transcription errors. The exact cause is not established and no publisher confirmation is claimed."},{"status":"verified","finding":"The sequence 93.5, 86.0, 29.0, 96.3 appears for Afghanistan/Bangladesh/Iran/Pakistan and repeats for Iraq/Jordan/Lebanon/Syria in Table 1 column E."},{"status":"limitation","finding":"Confirmation of the historical MLD parameter does not prove its applicability in 2025, nor the validity of national/state estimates."}],"recommended_metadata_changes_not_applied_to_v3":[{"source_id":"stala_monat_2020","action":"Add official original PDF URL and this verification; preserve mirror retrieval history. Remove mirror_no_visual_table_check only for the 102 listed verified observations."},{"source_id":"bamf_mld2020_full","action":"Add DNB original-PDF access; this audit verifies only the 18 historical MLD share observations, not all other tables."},{"source_id":"bamf_fb55","action":"Refine conflict flags: retain Table 1 conflicts; record Table 2 MLD shares as matched to the cited original, without silently replacing any published Table 1 cell."}],"article_existing_observation_checks":[{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_1d41796e9f12","origin_group":"Albanien","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":72.4,"original_pdf_value":72.4,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_edd9703d18fd","origin_group":"Albanien","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":38.5,"original_pdf_value":38.5,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_5b612e3fe7a0","origin_group":"Albanien","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":74.8,"original_pdf_value":74.8,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_3ab09aac95af","origin_group":"Albanien","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":38.5,"original_pdf_value":38.5,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_417c25432ba0","origin_group":"Bulgarien","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":1.5,"original_pdf_value":1.5,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_cc462f5e873b","origin_group":"Bulgarien","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":2.5,"original_pdf_value":2.5,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_2070e7802f30","origin_group":"Bulgarien","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":1.5,"original_pdf_value":1.5,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_7d08252b69fb","origin_group":"Bulgarien","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":2.5,"original_pdf_value":2.5,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_ad3f2bcb8235","origin_group":"Ehemaliges Jugoslawien ohne Kroatien und Slowenien","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":50.6,"original_pdf_value":50.6,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_182707a97ca5","origin_group":"Ehemaliges Jugoslawien ohne Kroatien und Slowenien","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":33.8,"original_pdf_value":33.8,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_115643ef8174","origin_group":"Ehemaliges Jugoslawien ohne Kroatien und Slowenien","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":69.1,"original_pdf_value":69.1,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_4bb632581af1","origin_group":"Ehemaliges Jugoslawien ohne Kroatien und Slowenien","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":33.8,"original_pdf_value":33.8,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_0a143b5abbe7","origin_group":"Türkei","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":88.6,"original_pdf_value":88.6,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_ae160d1132b3","origin_group":"Türkei","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":74.0,"original_pdf_value":74.0,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_0360eef88de7","origin_group":"Türkei","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":87.6,"original_pdf_value":87.6,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_11ce870f0003","origin_group":"Türkei","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":74.0,"original_pdf_value":74.0,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_db9f975f0af3","origin_group":"Kasachstan","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":2.1,"original_pdf_value":2.1,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_a2e3226f3c0d","origin_group":"Kasachstan","reference_period":"2011","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":0.5,"original_pdf_value":0.5,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_b9a37e1364ac","origin_group":"Kasachstan","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"foreign","v3_value":2.1,"original_pdf_value":2.1,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_1413383cb79d","origin_group":"Kasachstan","reference_period":"2018","citizenship_group":"german_migration","v3_value":0.5,"original_pdf_value":0.5,"matches":true,"printed_page":7},{"observation_id":"historical_parameters_bw_c93be90bd261","origin_group":"Russische 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